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Storage Contest-54th Place

<--53rd Place | Contest Home | 55th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-53rd Place

<--52nd Place | Contest Home | 54th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-52nd Place

<--51st Place | Contest Home | 53rd Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Advanced Holding Old

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| Full Day 1-44 Outlook | Day 1-14 Near-Term Outlook (GFS vs ECMWF) | Selective Day 10-14 Outlook **NEW!** |Day 15-44 Long-Term Outlook (CFSv2 vs ECMWF-EPS)

This page incorporates data from a variety of near-term and long-term computer models to project gas-weighted degree days (GWDDs) for the next 6 weeks. GWDDs represent a combination of heating and cooling degree days and natural gas geographic usage patterns to generate a temperature-dependent projection of relative natural gas demand. The GFS ENS model updates four times daily, the ECMWF ENS and CFS models twice daily, and the ECMWF-EPS model twice weekly. All attempts will be made to issue new updates timely, but data may be delayed. The data below is numerical only and processed according to proprietary algorithms as sharing ECMWF maps is disallowed.
44-Day Hybrid Forecast




14-Day Near-Term Forecast




Day 10-14 Forecast

Why focus on the 10-14 day period? Natural gas traders are forward-looking and degree-day data for the first week is often already priced in and can often mask trends later in the period. Days 10-14 represent the furthest extent of the near-term outlook, but within the range that investors consider “reliable.” It is evolving trends during this period that are frequently most responsible for driving near-term natural gas prices.

GFS ENS Vs ECMWF ENS Day 10-14 TOTAL GWDD Outlook: 7-Day Trend
GFS ENS Departure From Normal GWDDs For Day 10-14: 7-Day Trend


ECMWF ENS Departure From Normal GWDDs For Day 10-14: 7-Day Trend



Day 15-44 Long-Term Forecast


Storage Contest-50th Place

<--49th Place | Contest Home | 51st Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-49th Place

<--48th Place | Contest Home | 50th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-48th Place

<--47th Place | Contest Home | 49th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-47th Place

<--46th Place | Contest Home | 48th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-46th Place

<--45th Place | Contest Home | 47th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-45th Place

<--44th Place | Contest Home | 46th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.