All posts by

Storage Contest-99th Place

<--98th Place | Contest Home | 100th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-98th Place

<--97th Place | Contest Home | 99th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-97th Place

<--96th Place | Contest Home | 98th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-96th Place

<--95th Place | Contest Home | 97th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-95th Place

<--94th Place | Contest Home | 96th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-94th Place

<--93rd Place | Contest Home | 95th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-93rd Place

<--92nd Place | Contest Home | 94th Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-92nd Place

<--91st Place | Contest Home | 93rd Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Storage Contest-91st Place

<--90th Place | Contest Home | 92nd Place–>

Jump to: | Current Week Submission | Performance Breakdown & Comparison Versus The Field | Scoring & Ranking By Week |


Current Week Submission

This table shows the submitted natural gas storage projection, forecast closing price, and time bonus for the current contest week. Projections are hidden until submissions for that week close on Tuesday at 5:00 pm EDT, after which they will be visible to all until the next contest week begins on Thursday.



Contest Performance Breakdown

These tables breakdown the entrant’s performance in the contest by the components of the weekly score–storage projection, closing price, and bonus multiple–and then compares this performance to the rest of the field to highlight the strengths and weaknesses of each participant. These statistics update at the end of each contest week.



Scoring & Ranking History

The table below shows the breakdown of the entrant’s weekly score, including bonus multiple and projected & actual storage changes and closing price, as well as his/her weekly rank.

Jaime’s Homepage


Jump to: | Intraday Temperature Data | Intraday Storage Data | Near-Term Degree Day Outlook | 4-Week Storage Projections | Today’s Forecast | Price Data |


Intraday Temperature data

Intraday nationwide temperature data is calculated on a population-weighted basis using a network of 210 reporting stations. The data is updated hourly throughout the day and is compared to a 1981-present average.


Current US Temperatures

Source: Weather.com


Intraday Natural Gas Storage Data

Intraday natural gas storage is based on both forecast and observed temperatures as well as early-cycle pipeline data. Today’s projected injection or withdrawal is updated between Midnight and 1 AM and intraday storage changes are updated hourly.





Near-Term Degree Day Outlook

Natural gas Total Degree Days (TDDs) are a composite measure of temperature-driven gas demand that factor in heating degree days (HDDs), cooling degree days (CDDs), and population distribution. The numerical data displayed below updates 4 times per day based on 00Z, 06Z, 12Z, and 18Z computer model run data.




4-Week Natural Gas Storage Projections

Natural gas storage projections for the next 4 storage weeks are based on a combination of observed and forecast temperatures as well as natural gas pipeline data. Projections are updated at 7AM and 7PM EDT.

Daily Natural Gas Injection or Withdrawal Summary


Weekly Natural Gas Injection or Withdrawal Summary





Today’s Detailed Temperature & Degree Day Forecast

Today’s forecast data is based on data from the latest run of the American GFS model and is compared to 1981-2016 normals. The forecast is updated four times daily.




Data Source: Tropical Tidbits By Levi Cowan


Forecast U.S. Total Degree Day Historical Comparison

Today’s forecast Total Degree Days (TDDs) versus observed TDDs since 1981. TDDs are a metric of weather-dependent natural gas demand equal to the sum of forecast heating and cooling degree days.



Natural Gas Investing Data

The “Fair Price” of natural gas is an estimate of a neutral valuation for natural gas based on the current gas surplus or deficit versus the 5-year average. The natural gas departure from average is compared to weeks in the previous 5 years with a similar surplus or deficit and calculating the average price of natural gas at those times.


Intraday Natural Gas Pricing Data



Natural Gas Fair Price Data